Odds for the Dow on 12/11/2010

Hour	Next Day Odds	Current Wave*	Comments
9:31 Open
9:50 AM Pre-Data	58% up, most frequent range positive	5 of 5 (?)
10:10 AM Post-Data
11 AM
12 PM
1 PM
2 PM
3 PM
3:50 PM Pre-Close
4:07 PM Close	63% up, most frequent range positive	Seems overly confident to me, could be a drop Monday after a brief pop higher

*The timeframe of the wave is more like an hourly timeframe, meaning a wave that will form over the course of 5-10 trading days. Subject to revision intraday.

Stats:

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	26/36	72%	31/36 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22%, -0.85% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)