Odds for the Dow on 12/16/2010

Hour	Next Day Odds	Current Wave*	Comments
9:31 Open
9:50 AM Pre-Data
10:10 AM Post-Data
11 AM
12 PM
1 PM
2 PM
3 PM
3:50 PM Pre-Close
4:07 PM Close	61% down, most frequent range negative

*The timeframe of the wave is more like an hourly timeframe, meaning a wave that will form over the course of 5-10 trading days. Subject to revision intraday.

Stats:

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	28/39	71%	33/39 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22%, -0.85%, 0.42% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)

Odds for the Dow on 12/15/2010

Hour	Next Day Odds	Current Wave*	Comments
9:31 Open
9:50 AM Pre-Data	54% down, most frequent range negative
10:10 AM Post-Data
11 AM
12 PM
1 PM
2 PM
3 PM
3:50 PM Pre-Close
4:07 PM Close	54% down, most frequent range negative

*The timeframe of the wave is more like an hourly timeframe, meaning a wave that will form over the course of 5-10 trading days. Subject to revision intraday.

Stats:

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	27/38	71%	32/38 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22%, -0.85%, 0.42% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)

Odds for the Dow on 12/14/2010

Hour	Next Day Odds	Current Wave*	Comments
9:31 Open
9:50 AM Pre-Data
10:10 AM Post-Data
11 AM
12 PM
1 PM
2 PM	60% up, most frequent range positive
3 PM
3:50 PM Pre-Close	51% up, most frequent range negative		Not good odds to be long, could be a red close tomorrow finally
4:07 PM Close	51% down, most frequent range negative		Finally!

*The timeframe of the wave is more like an hourly timeframe, meaning a wave that will form over the course of 5-10 trading days. Subject to revision intraday.

Stats:

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	27/37	73%	32/37 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22%, -0.85% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)

Odds for the Dow on 12/11/2010

Hour	Next Day Odds	Current Wave*	Comments
9:31 Open
9:50 AM Pre-Data	58% up, most frequent range positive	5 of 5 (?)
10:10 AM Post-Data
11 AM
12 PM
1 PM
2 PM
3 PM
3:50 PM Pre-Close
4:07 PM Close	63% up, most frequent range positive	Seems overly confident to me, could be a drop Monday after a brief pop higher

*The timeframe of the wave is more like an hourly timeframe, meaning a wave that will form over the course of 5-10 trading days. Subject to revision intraday.

Stats:

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	26/36	72%	31/36 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22%, -0.85% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)

Odds for the Dow on 12/10/2010

Hour	Next Day Odds	Current Wave*	Comments
9:31 Open	50/50	2 of A or 4 of 5	If new highs are made today it's likely the drop the last few days was a wave 4, if not, this could be wave 2 of A of an A-B-C
9:50 AM Pre-Data
10:10 AM Post-Data
11 AM	56% Down, most frequent range was negative		last update till the close...not sure if I'll have an after close update until tonight though
12 PM
1 PM
2 PM
3 PM
3:50 PM Pre-Close
4:07 PM Close	53% up most frequent range positive

*The timeframe of the wave is more like an hourly timeframe, meaning a wave that will form over the course of 5-10 trading days. Subject to revision intraday.

Stats:

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	25/35	71%	30/35 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22%, -0.85% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)

Odds for the Dow on 12/9/2010

Hour	Next Day Odds	Current Wave*	Comments
9:31 Open	56% Down, most frequent range was negative	A of A-B-C or 4 of 5	With hard selling all day yesterday, it's possible the up wave is over and the market is carving the early stages of an A-B-C correction. If new highs are made, yesterday could have been a 4 of 5
9:50 AM Pre-Data
10:10 AM Post-Data
11 AM	59% Down, most frequent range tied between positive and negative
12 PM
1 PM	58% Down, most frequent range was negative
2 PM
3 PM	52% Down, most frequent range was positive
3:50 PM Pre-Close	52% Down, most frequent range was positive		mixed, not good odds to be long or short
4:07 PM Close	51% Up, most frequent range was positive		could be in for a 5 of 5 if new highs are made tomorrow

*The timeframe of the wave is more like an hourly timeframe, meaning a wave that will form over the course of 5-10 trading days. Subject to revision intraday.

Stats:

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	25/34	74%	29/34 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22%, -0.85% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)

Odds for the Dow on 12/8/2010

Hour	Next Day Odds	Current Wave*	Comments
9:31 Open	57% Up, most frequent range was positive	5 of 5 cont'd	Looks positive for the next few hours but also note that the SPY bull wedge target of 123.98 was met this morning
9:50 AM Pre-Data	No Update
10:10 AM Post-Data	58% Up, most frequent range was positive
11 AM
12 PM
1 PM
2 PM
3 PM
3:50 PM Pre-Close
4:07 PM Close	55% Up, most frequent range was positive		I won't be able to provide intraday updates most days of the week, or even closing data. In any case, I'm keeping stats here for my own reference.

*The timeframe of the wave is more like an hourly timeframe, meaning a wave that will form over the course of 5-10 trading days. Subject to revision intraday.

Stats:

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	24/33	72%	28/33 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22%, -0.85% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)