Odds for the Dow on 11/26/2010

Category	Prediction Rate	% Correct	Notes
Direction	19/25	76%	21/25 disregarding minor closing range (losses were 0.30%, 0.65%, 0.20%, 0.22% gains could have been made on 2 of those days)
Significant High/Low*	1/1	100%
Gap Fill+	1/1	100%
Hypothetical Portfolio	Starting Date	Compounded Return
$10,000 starting balance	11/18/2010	+1.38%	$10,138 balance, profits are reinvested

* A significant high/low occurs when the market makes a move greater than 0.5%. This test is measuring the following case: If the odds of a significant high/low are >= 72% in either direction, a significant high/low was made the following day.
+ When the odds of a negative high/pos low <= 3% and the market gaps in the low odds direction, the gap fills.

This was the table as of Wednesday. Posting it for the record. I didn't take a trade because the range was inconclusive.